Parable of the Fig Tree: Jesus On Knowing If He’s Coming Now or Later

Can you know if Jesus is coming now or not, without knowing the date? Most don’t think so because they miss that Jesus in his own words instructed us on how with his Parable of the Fig tree. Unfortunately, the parable is commonly misread as a prophecy referring to major events in the history of modern Israel one "generation" away from Christ’s return, supposedly allowing you to calculate the second coming date. But does "this generation" refer to Jesus’ first century audience or maybe to our generation, the "last generation?" Discover the real meaning of the parable and the key to discerning where we are in Bible prophecy that it plainly teaches when you let it.

An Odd Difficulty in the Parable of the Fig Tree

When I started studying Bible prophecy, I hoped to answer the question of "How do we know when Jesus is coming?" just like any prophecy fan. I quickly learned how varied and uncertain the answers for that question were. There were so many contradictory theories and approaches to sift through it was overwhelming. Why, with so much prophecy written, were we seemingly clueless on this question, as judging from all the constant failed predictions of Jesus' second coming as well as the 2000 years of expectancy that Jesus could "come imminently at any moment."

Now I know how to tell not exactly when, but at least if Jesus is coming soon thanks to the Parable of the Fig tree that Jesus taught. In it he let believers know for all time the right approach to answering this question. It has been overlooked because of some inherent difficulties it contains that throw the reader off the trail. This has lead to people treating it figuratively instead, as we shall see.

If you remember, the parable appears at the end of the Olivet Discourse (Mt 24; Mk 13; Lk 21), the prophecy Jesus gave about two main subjects in answer to two questions the disciples directly asked him to start the discussion:

  1. Destruction of the temple, "not one stone left on another" (Mt 24:2)
  2. Second coming and "the end of the age” (Mt 24:3)

As Jesus answers the two questions, he unfortunately weaves the two answers together in something like an A-B-A-B pattern. Which verses belong to which timeframe is hard to say with certainty. Then when you get to the concluding Parable of the Fig Tree, you see a similar mix of the two timeframes:

Matthew 24:32-35 (HCSB) — 32 Now learn this parable from the fig tree: As soon as its branch becomes tender and sprouts leaves, you know that summer is near. 33 In the same way, when you see all these things, recognize that He is near—at the door! 34 I assure you: This generation will certainly not pass away until all these things take place. 35 Heaven and earth will pass away, but My words will never pass away.

Do you see the difficulty? Jesus used the phrase "all these things" twice. Once for what would happen before "this generation" dies out and once for the events preceding his return and the coming of the kingdom (Mt 24:33=Lk 21:31=Mk 13:29). A strict literal reading of that would mean all the details of the prophecy he just gave would happen within one generation and also demand that he come "near" or soon after. This obviously did not happen, and still has not happened 2000 years later. You can hardly blame readers for being confused and giving up trying to make sense of the Olivet Discourse.

How can you resolve this difficulty? I'm going to share my resolution below, but the popular resolution you hear most among prophecy fans is to equate the two "all these things" as referring to the very same event in the end times. Of course, the problem then becomes what do you do with "this generation," a plain reference to Jesus' listeners? It is taken it to mean "that generation" or the people alive a few decades before Jesus' second coming. This is helped by another twist that you have probably seen: turning the transformation of the fig tree described in the parable into a reference to the rebirth of Israel as a nation. This makes it easier to claim the "this" refers to our generation, the fig tree's generation. Let's take a look at it to see why it does not work.

Parable of the Fig Tree Generation Calculations

If you are not already familiar with how the Parable from the Fig Tree is treated as a hidden prophecy, here's how they go. First, the fig tree is equated with Israel. Several biblical passages already use the fig tree as a metaphor for Israel and these are naturally referenced to justify the same usage for the parable (Joel 1:7; Lk 13:6-9). Then one ties in the creation of Israel in 1948 as the "fig tree" and/or Israel's gaining of land in 1967 in the Six Day War as the fig tree "putting forth leaves." With the latter, it can even be said that "summer was nigh" since that war started and ended in early June. Finally, "this generation shall not pass" is used to start "a one generation countdown" from the year previously assigned to the parable to the return of Christ.

But how long is a generation? That's where it gets interesting or certainly very creative. Varying definitions of what constitutes a "biblical generation" have been popularized: 40 years (Nu 32:13; Ps 95:10), 70 years (Ps 90:10), 120 years (Gen 6:3), However, the most commonly accepted definition of a generation, 40 years, is no longer used much since it is not conducive to the scheme working anymore.

For example, the book 88 Reasons Why the Rapture Will Be in 1988 used 40 years from 1948 to provide one of its 88 proofs that "Jesus will acquire His bride" in 1988. We all know how that turned out. 1967 + 40 = 2007 is another variation which is also already past due. One popular long time prophecy website which once used the 40-year generation later switched to teaching a generation of 48.33 years and Jesus' return in Fall, 2015 (June, 1967 + 48.33 = 2015). If that does not immediately sound forced to you, try coming up with the same number from the verse they based it on: Matthew 1:17!

The clear lesson from these few examples is that people can imagine many generation lengths which when plugged into the fig tree parable create many yet future timeframes for the rapture.

Problems With Fig Tree Parable As Prophecy

But there really is no need to withholding judgment and wait-and-see on those rapture calculations. There are several serious difficulties with this theory which bring any conclusions from it into doubt immediately. You will probably be kicking yourself like I did for not seeing these things earlier.

The first thing to notice is that the emphasis on the fig tree is not warranted for a couple reasons. If you check the other gospels' versions of this parable, you'll find that Luke's version of the Olivet Discourse has extra verbiage that undermines the theory:

Luke 21:29 (HCSB) — Then He told them a parable: “Look at the fig tree, and all the trees.

The parable is drawing attention to all the trees as examples, not just one type. Of course, most trees (and plants) sprout leaves in the spring. This alone does not disprove that the fig tree was used with some hidden meaning intended, but it does steer you towards the plain literal meaning of the concept "fig tree" as simply a harbinger of the summer season.

The other issue is that there is no indication that we should take the fig tree figuratively. It already makes sense plainly. To take the fig tree out of its context here by using other passages where the context uses a fig tree as a symbol for Israel is not justified. An alternative non literal reading should only be looked for when the literal reading makes no sense or the context directly hints at a non-literal use. An example of this would be Revelation 9:1-2 where it describes a star falling from heaven "with a key" to the abyss which "he opened." Stars don't use keys, but from other passages about the fall of Satan and the fallen angels describes as stars (Rev 12) it is understood that the star here can refer to a fallen angel.

The biggest issue of all perhaps is the twisting of the phrase "this generation." When Jesus spoke this parable, the words "this generation" could only refer to his first century audience standing there before him listening to his words. If you doubt that, notice how he uses the same phrase earlier pronouncing a curse to fall on the Jews of "this generation" (Mt 23:36) for their murdering of the prophets. Obviously, that judgment did not wait 2000 years or the Jews it was slated for would have all died before they were judged.

Many agree that he spoke both "this generation" pronouncements in the year 30, as some 40 years later, in the year 70, the Romans sacked Jerusalem and destroyed the temple. This literally fulfilled not one stone being left on another (Mt 24:2). More importantly, it also fulfilled the timing he specified multiple times to be "upon this generation" (Mt 23:36; 24:34) or happening before 40 years passed from the speaking of the prophecy (Nu 32:13; Ps 95:10).

To take Jesus' words "this generation" to mean "that generation" requires a complete disregard for the meaning of the word "this." It breaks Scripture, or denies its plain literal meaning which is not how Jesus taught by example to handle Scripture (John 10:35). If you have heard people talking about "the last generation" this is where it comes from. There is no "last generation" in the Bible; Jesus always refers to "this generation" whether it was Moses or Jesus addressing a crowd who were about to be cursed.

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A Better Resolution to "All These Things"

As covered above, there is a good reason people resort to disregarding the plain meaning of "this generation:" the need to resolve Jesus' confusing dual use "all these things." Notice again what he says in Matthew's version:

Matthew 24:32-35 (HCSB) — 33 In the same way, when you see all these things, recognize that He is near—at the door! 34 I assure you: This generation will certainly not pass away until all these things take place.

How can we better resolve this? With a difficult passage like this there may not be a perfect answer we find completely satisfying. Yet we can do better than voiding the clear meaning of "this generation." Whenever trying to resolve the difficult words of Jesus, one reliable strategy is to check the other gospel accounts to see how they compare. Let's look at Mark and Luke's versions of the parable:

Mark 13:29-30 (HCSB) — 29 In the same way, when you see these things happening, know that He is near—at the door! 30 I assure you: This generation will certainly not pass away until all these things take place.

Luke 21:31-32 (HCSB) — 31 In the same way, when you see these things happening, recognize that the kingdom of God is near. 32 I assure you: This generation will certainly not pass away until all things take place.

Notice that in both the contradictory double usage of "all these things" disappears. Mark uses the phrase only once and Luke does not use it at all. Luke is the clearest of the three because he says "all things" happen on "this generation" and to "see these things" to know when the kingdom is near. It's not much different but it allows us at least to begin to see two sets of "things" being referred to by Jesus for the two different time periods that the Olivet Discourse and the Fig Tree Parable deal with:

  1. First Century: temple destruction and related "things" that happen on "this generation."
  2. End Times: second coming, kingdom and related "things" that happen "in the end."

Another strategy for difficult phrases is to see where else the phrase is used. A chapter earlier in Matthew, Jesus made a very similar pronouncement about "things" coming "on this generation:"

Matthew 23:33-36 (HCSB) 33 “Snakes! Brood of vipers! How can you escape being condemned to hell? 34 This is why I am sending you prophets, sages, and scribes. Some of them you will kill and crucify, and some of them you will flog in your synagogues and hound from town to town. 35 So all the righteous blood shed on the earth will be charged to you, from the blood of righteous Abel to the blood of Zechariah, son of Berechiah, whom you murdered between the sanctuary and the altar. 36 I assure you: All these things will come on this generation!

Jesus warns the scribes and Pharisees of judgment for their crimes coming on "this generation" just as he says regarding the timing of the temple destruction. Notice how "all these things" does not quite fit here, either, because at most a couple events are predicted; the sending of prophets and the charging of bloodguilt. A simple "this will happen" seems more appropriate, but instead we have another out of place "all these things."

My point in showing you this is that Jesus' usage of the phrase in reference to events happening on his generation is consistently awkward. Perhaps the original language translated for "all" was meant emphatically and not to denote completion. Whatever the answer is, it's obvious from his usage that it's not going to be best to not take "all" to mean "every single thing I have been talking about so far."

In summary, how I resolve the "all these things" difficulty is to see that there are two sets of things in the Olivet Discourse and also different "things" phrases used by Jesus to refer to both of them in the Fig Tree Parable. Here's how I read what he said:

Luke 21:31-32 (HCSB) — 31 In the same way, when you see these things[I told you about the end times] happening, recognize that the kingdom of God is near. 32 I assure you: This generation will certainly not pass away until all things [I told you related to the temple Destruction] take place.

When we read this parable concluding the Olivet Discourse thusly, it matches up with the two questions that opened it.

The Parable's Plain Meaning - Fig Leaf Milestones

Now that we can read the parable not as some kind of secret date calculation prophecy but as instructions on how to tell when Jesus' appearance is near, what does it tell us? It tells us how to use rest of the Olivet Discourse that preceded it. It is actually part one of a two part instruction explaining how not to use his words and also the proper way to use them.

Part One or how not to use Bible prophecy is found in the very next passage after the Fig Tree Parable. Jesus warns people that no man knows when he is coming (Mt 24:36-39). The passage plainly says that no one can figure out (far in advance) the date of Jesus' return (and by extension, other prophetic events connected with it). Yes, that means even someone equipped with the Bible because Jesus also included himself as not knowing the date and he was the complete Word of God itself, of which the written Bible is only a subset. Of course, the date settings we have endured for 2000 years all ignore this plain statement. For more on that see my article on understanding "no man knows the day or hour."

If we can't use Jesus' words in the Olivet Discourse and other prophecies to figure out in advance "the date" to put on our calendar to watch, then what are these prophecies for?

That's where Part Two, the Parable of the Fig Tree instructions, come in. It instructs us to interpret the appearance of "all these things" or the end time events that Jesus just finished describing as immediate precursors and prerequisites to his coming (Mt 24:33; Mk 13:29)—just as the sight of all the leaves sprouting on the trees is an indication of summer being near or their nonappearance indicating summer is not near.

Likewise, if you do not see the "things" described, then you know the coming of Jesus is not near or definitely not "imminent." It can't happen at any moment. He said this so plainly himself earlier that there is no doubt:

Matthew 24:6-8 (HCSB) — 6 You are going to hear of wars and rumors of wars. See that you are not alarmed, because these things must take place, but the end is not yet. 7 For nation will rise up against nation, and kingdom against kingdom. There will be famines, and earthquakes in various places. 8 All these events are the beginning of birth pains.

Wormwood is the Key Identifying the End Time "Things" / Beginning of Sorrows

Full disclosure, I was not able to make much sense of this parable or the Olivet Discourse myself until after I made another key breakthrough. When I came to realize that the third trumpet of Revelation, Wormwood, really was literal and not figurative (Chernobyl, etc.) it opened everything up. I was even able to find six of Revelation's seals and trumpets in the Olivet Discourse. But again, you have to check all the gospels. Reading Matthew (as in the section above), the go-to gospel for most people, I kept missing it. When I studied Luke, I could see the parallel clearly because of the extra details it has that Matthew (shown above) and Mark do not:

Luke 21:11 (HCSB) —There will be violent earthquakes, and famines and plagues [pestilences] in various places, and there will be terrifying sights and great signs from heaven.

This matches up with the sixth seal of Revelation 6:12. I've underlined the parallels including the terrifying sights (some on earth) and great signs in the heavens Jesus talked about:

Revelation 6:12-15 (HCSB) — 12 Then I saw Him open the sixth seal. A violent earthquake occurred; the sun turned black like sackcloth made of goat hair; the entire moon became like blood; 13 the stars of heaven fell to the earth as a fig tree drops its unripe figs when shaken by a high wind; 14 the sky separated like a scroll being rolled up; and every mountain and island was moved from its place. 15 Then the kings of the earth, the nobles, the military commanders, the rich, the powerful, and every slave and free person hid in the caves and among the rocks of the mountains.

Obviously the earth has not gone through a global catastrophe like this in modern times. According to Jesus therefore, until we see events matching these beginning of sorrows, his coming is not yet near. Plain and simple. That's how you know if Jesus' coming is near or not, without needing to know a date on a calendar. It also explains what people have been missing for 2000 years that has caused them to expect or predict Jesus' return every year.

If you want to know more about Wormwood (that scientists also refer to in their Nemesis hypothesis) and how God plans to save us right here on the earth from it, check out my comprehensive end time prophecy book Know the Future.

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Tim McHyde

Tim is the author of this site (since 1999) and the book Know the Future that explains Revelation literally at last--including the key event of Wormwood (Rev 6-8). To read more from Tim and not miss a single new article, sign up for his free newsletter above.

Thomas Burke - December 26, 2016

I think it is a wonderful article crafted with great care. Having read your book “Know The Future” I recognized the application of your teaching of basic rules of Bible prophecy interpretation such as staying with the plain literal reading of a verse unless the context indicates differently, and always paying attention to the audience to whom the prophet is speaking. Carefully comparing the corresponding verses in the different gospels was another method that you executed like a sleuth to coax out the actual meaning and distinctions of the two different time frames prophesied about by Yeshua in this parable, one right next to the other, almost hiding in plain sight! Your interpretation of this parable does fit like a puzzle piece without forcing the structure of your overall prophecy teaching just as you propose to do in your work.
I recommend to your readers a studious reading of your article after discerning the A-B-A-B pattern in the parable to dispel the erroneous notions about “this generation shall not pass” and “Fig tree = Israel”. These interpretations have been so obviously misleading to me with 65 years of age and over 45 years of walking (limping sometimes) with the Lord. I have patiently waited with great hope for nearly 45 years to see the fulfillment of the end time prophecies. But as time rolls on for me as a non-church believer who has understood and believed in a nuclear war destruction of America as Babylon the Great and a post-Trib rapture for all of that time, it was a great relief to me to find modern confirmation of these tenets held by a few of my generation. Just as invigorating to my patience, hope and faith are the study of the supporting and complementary interpretations I have learned by reading your prophecy teachings.

James Clement - February 3, 2017

If you take to approximate date of Jesus birth and add 70 years you see the destruction of Jerusalem as Jesus predicted on ‘That’ generation?
Would it not follow the same pattern from 1948 upon ‘This’ generation?
I do not believe in a pre-trib rapture nor the setting of exact dates, but adding or subtracting 4 years concerning Christ’s birth and adding or subtracting 10 years concerning the length of a generation 70-to- 80 years seems to put us in the ‘season’ of Christ’s return. 2018 to 2028?
The wise men did not know the exact place or the exact time of the birth of the new King, but they knew the season. Jesus also criticized His generation for ‘Discerning the weather but not the times’
Please know that I am not trying to trip you up but I have been reading your work for years and I am open to being corrected.-

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